1/14/2024 0 Comments Vdot weather calculator![]() ![]() Let’s move into something more helpful for predicting race paces and goal times than, shall we? Not having figured out fueling for training and race day can mean you’re on pace to a great race at your goal pace and then all of a sudden you tank. Maybe you’ve really nailed how to eat for a 5k race but you bump up to the half-marathon or the full. Again, you can still have a great day, it just means you shouldn’t base success on whether or not you hit the time the calculator said based on a different day.įueling. Run in 45 degrees, dry, and no wind? Well, if race day is warm, is humid, is windy, has a type of precipitation that you don’t do well in, you’re going to need to give yourself some grace. Run a fast flat 5k but your half-marathon has some hills? Your goal half time will look different! Doesn’t mean it can’t be a huge win of a day, just means you shouldn’t base your success off of the calculator time! If you raced your first race under ideal (or just good) conditions then the following changes can mean race day needs to be adjusted. That calculator ignores all things that can make race day anything but perfect. ![]() This only gets more and more the case when we talk about the longer distances. Maybe as an athlete you’re an aerobic beast and you can crank out slightly slower than threshold pace for hours on end, but when it comes to dropping below threshold pace your body just isn’t great at clearing fatiguing products? Well then you’re going to crush the half and the full marathon but you’ll struggle to “meet your potential” in the shorter distances according to those calculators. Both mentally and physically we all have things that make us special and unique that allow us to really thrive in one event, but struggle a lot in another. These calculators assume that as an athlete you don’t have strengths. You might not be there yet, but steady progress will get you there.Ģ. The ability to train at an equal intensity for a marathon as for a 5k requires a training history that makes the marathon volume not a shock to the system. This isn’t because you didn’t work as hard, it’s just because you might have had to put more energy into increasing your volume load instead of race pace efforts and harder speed sessions. However, doing a 5k PR off half-marathon training might mean your half-marathon race time is underestimated and you’re actually primed to do something faster than they think.Īdditionally, for newer runners, when we level up to the next distance event, we might not have had the ability to have our training meet the same intensity levels as for the shorter events. Rocking a 5k but not changing the type of speed work you’re doing means you probably won’t have the ideal 10k race those calculators depend on. Your speed sessions have different emphasis, your long runs have different lengths, etc. Your training should look different from the mile to the 5k to the 10k to the half to the full marathon. This also means your training was perfect for the event you’re racing. Depending on your life and your training schedule you might have been better prepared for one race than another (this can go for both being better or worse prepared for your next race). Well, we know that not every training block looks the same. Those calculators work through formulas based off the assumption that you are equally fit for all races and have had ideal training for the event you are making the prediction for. Don’t take anything from a calculator or VDOT as the gospel. How do you go about predicting what your goal time and race pace should be for a new and upcoming race, particularly when that race is a different distance? Well, let’s start with what we shouldn’t do. Maybe you’re on the VDOT system and it tells you what your time “should be”. Maybe you plugged in an old race time into one of those fancy “race-time predictor” calculators. Maybe you have been running your easy days at X:XX pace. Maybe you just had a huge race with a great PR and you do some mental math. ![]() So you’ve got a race coming up and you’re trying to figure out what you’re capable of running if you’re just “tough enough”. ![]()
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